Markit Intraday Alerts
December
Lagarde and Des Donnes
15 December 2011
Early credit rally from better than expected economic data did not hold. Profit taking from shorts exhausted itself and comments from IMF head...
 
Spain rallying after auction
15 December 2011
A combination of profit taking, better than expected PMIs and a strong bond auction led to the markets rallying today. The Markit iTraxx Europe...
 
More of the Same
14 December 2011
Continued declines in the euro along with talk of a potential break-up drive risk-averse sentiment in the credit markets.
 
Pricing the Expected (Again?)
13 December 2011
North American credit markets saw some volatility, albeit not as much as equities, in response to Merkel comments and FOMC decision despite there...
 
Merkel dampens sentiment
13 December 2011
Traders were reporting light volumes in the CDS market today, so it was no surprise to see significant amounts of volatility. Headlines continue...
 
The Only Prescription is More Austerity
12 December 2011
Markets reacted today to the prospects of sovereign rating downgrade following an EU leaders' summit that fell short of market expectations.
 
ECB pulls back
12 December 2011
The cautious optimism that was evident in recent weeks was in short supply today as the sovereign debt crisis rumbled on. Last week's EU summit...
 
Optimism punctured
08 December 2011
The ECB was the star of the show today and there was immense pressure on it to perform. Expectations were high, and in one sense it exceeded them....
 
Will Draghi deliver?
07 December 2011
Sentiment in the financial markets has been shaped by headlines in Europe over the past few months, and today was a typical example. Volatility...
 
No to politics
06 December 2011
The rating agencies have triggered their fair share of controversy during the sovereign debt crisis and S&P's intervention yesterday was the...
 
"Other elements might follow"
01 December 2011
Credit markets outperformed their equity counterparts today as they continued to enjoy the benefits of yesterday's coordinated central bank...
 
November
Central Banks Flex But Not Fix
30 November 2011
It was all about central bank action today. However, the lowering of dollar swap lines by 50bp addresses a symptom of the eurozone debt crisis,...
 
Central banks to the rescue
30 November 2011
It was all about the central banks today as they stepped into the vacuum left by governments. The markets were drifting along when news broke that...
 
Rating Agency Bookends
29 November 2011
Optimism re: Europe seemed to carry over a bit from yesterday but rating agency actions, particularly a review on European bank subordinated debt...
 
Italian relief
29 November 2011
It was another volatile session for the credit markets today as positive and negative catalysts battled for control of sentiment. The Markit...
 
Hope or Jolliness
28 November 2011
The markets posted a significant rally today largely on hopes that European policymakers can bring about stronger fiscal ties.
 
Mini-summit blues
24 November 2011
It was just settling into a typically docile Thanksgiving afternoon when the trio of Nicolas Sarkozy, Angela Merkel and Mario Monti made an...
 
An alarm signal
23 November 2011
Many regard Germany as the source of the current market turbulence but the manner in which it triggered a correction today was unexpected. The...
 
Throwing in the Cape; Picking Up the Mantle
22 November 2011
North American credit markets were range bound today despite the somewhat choppy moves in equitieis. Limited near-term implications from the...
 
No bazooka
22 November 2011
Europe is still at loggerheads over the ECB, some of the continent's banks are undercapitalised and US GDP missed expectations. Despite all of...
 
Deliberations
22 November 2011
Europe continues to deliberate about what to do next to address sovereign contagion. The US Congress remains gridlocked.
 
Yet more pain
21 November 2011
It was another bloodbath in the markets today as investors took flight from risk. The Markit iTraxx Europe finished the day 10.5bp wider at 198bp,...
 
Vocal vs. Technical Support
17 November 2011
The markets were in 'risk-off' mode today following dismal bond auction results for Spain and continuing widening of spreads for France. The...
 
More uncertainty, more volatility
17 November 2011
More uncertainty, more volatility. The main credit indices traded in a wide range today, an occurrence that is becoming commonplace in the modern...
 
European Headwind
16 November 2011
A lot of whipsawing intraday for North American corporate credits but the market dribbled wider late after Fitch Ratings warned on outlook for US...
 
ECB intervening, role still in question
16 November 2011
The credit markets bounced back from yesterday's capitulation but there was little in the way of fresh news to justify the recovery. Mario Monti...
 
Trying to Show Independence
16 November 2011
North American corporate credits managed to close only a bit wider in the aggregate despite a day weighed with negative headlines from Europe.
 
Inherent weakness
15 November 2011
It was volatility as usual today as the markets brushed off the installation of technocratic governments and focused on the inherent weaknesses in...
 
Of Technicals and Technocrats
14 November 2011
Separation of politics and fiscal policy is harder than it sounds as new technocrats in Europe will discover in addressing their nation's woes.
 
No technocratic rally
14 November 2011
If Europe's leaders hoped that the installation of technocratic governments in Italy and Greece would curtail the damage from the debt crisis then...
 
Succession Session
10 November 2011
Political instability in Europe eased a little as Greece appointed a new PM and momentum coalesced behind a single person for PM in Italy.
 
No bloodbath but plenty of volatility
10 November 2011
Many expected a bloodbath in the markets today after yesterday's capitulation but it didn't materialise. It looked like it was going to another...
 
Italian Inversion
09 November 2011
Italian bond yields blew out today following LCH.Clearnet's move to raise initial margin limits on BTPs.
 
Two Halves
08 November 2011
Markets focused on Italy's budget vote and word of Berlusconi's pending resignation.
 
Berlusconi clinging on
08 November 2011
The financial markets are in thrall to politics at the moment. Last week participants were watching Athens with increasing trepidation; this week...
 
That's Not Amore
07 November 2011
North American credit markets managed to finish the day mostly unchanged despite growing concerns about Italy being unable or unwilling to enact...
 
An Italian malaise
07 November 2011
The volatility that afflicted the markets last week shows no sign of abating as political risk preoccupies participants. The Markit iTraxx Europe...
 
Real and Unrealpolitik
03 November 2011
ECB's 25bp rate cut helped risk assets rally after a volatile morning due to ongoing political uncertainty in Greece.
 
Drama in Athens
03 November 2011
New ECB president Mario Draghi said today that it was hard to comment on political developments in Greece. The wild oscillations in the markets...
 
Awaiting Europe's Next Move
02 November 2011
Sideways market mostly today as investors attempted to sort out the Greek referendum and await moves by Italy and the ECB.
 
"We need clarity"
02 November 2011
Angela Merkel said that “we need clarity” as she left for her meeting in Cannes today with George Papandreou, Nicholas Sarkozy and...
 
Experimental Democracy
01 November 2011
Markets were blindsided by reports that a Greek referendum would be required to approve last week's bailout measures.
 
Underpricing political risk
01 November 2011
It takes a lot to shock the markets in these turbulent times but Greek prime minister George Papandreou managed to do it after the close...
 
October
Spooked by Doubt
31 October 2011
Credit market sentiment was driven by growing doubts on the 'grand plan' and MF Global's bankruptcy filing.
 
Risk averision returns
31 October 2011
Risk aversion was back today after the failure of a broker-dealer heightened tension in a market already concerned about the eurozone's stability....
 
From Calm to Euphoria
27 October 2011
Broad-based tightening in CDS spreads today on the heels of Europe's unveiling of the 'grand plan'
 
The deal to end all deals?
27 October 2011
It was all one-way traffic today in the credit markets as the deal struck by Europe's leaders in the early hours received a rapturous reception....
 
Agreeing to Agree
27 October 2011
Markets still seem optimistic even though expectations are now that the summit will provide little in the way of detailed numbers.
 
Calm before the storm?
26 October 2011
Today's trading session was always destined to be the calm before the storm and so it proved. Flows were light as the markets waited the outcome...
 
Hope in One Hand, Summit in the Other
25 October 2011
North American credit markets showed greater resilience than other asset classes to speculation that a grand plan may not be forthcoming at...
 
Preparing for disappointment
25 October 2011
For most of the day it looked like a typical trading session before a scheduled major event, i.e. one dominated by caution. Confidence that...
 
The Waiting Game
24 October 2011
Investors await Wednesday's policy announcements re: a grand plan but continue to take an optimistic view.
 
Edging closer
24 October 2011
Credit continued to trade in a tight range as the markets digested yesterday's EU summit. As expected, little in the way of concrete decisions...
 
Wednesday is the New Sunday
20 October 2011
Spreads for North American corporate credits finished at the day's tights after French and German leaders indicate that a bailout plan will be...
 
Leaks and denials
20 October 2011
It hardly needs saying that financial markets were once again in thrall to the headlines emanating from European discussions on the EFSF. Leaks...
 
Follow the Bouncing Ball
19 October 2011
Reports that the EFSF as a first loss insurer may have critical legal issues dampened risk sentiment late.
 
A magic wand
19 October 2011
Headlines, deadlines. The market continues to be driven by the output of the media, specifically the comments given by various sources close to...
 
Afternoon Delight?
18 October 2011
US bank CDS benefitted significantly from reports of a Franco-German agreement on a European rescue plan. Home builders were tighter on improved...
 
Nerves are building
18 October 2011
A modest late rally obscured what was another difficult session for credit. Profit taking no doubt contributed to the widening throughout the day...
 
Dampening expectations
17 October 2011
The markets opened the week exuding the optimism that has been evident since the start of October. All of the main CDS indices were tighter and...
 
Onto the Next Milestones
13 October 2011
Markets eased back today. Ongoing concerns about bank recapitalization, JPM earnings and Fitch rating actions led US banks to be the underperformers.
 
A rally curtailed
13 October 2011
The strong rally observed in recent days came to an abrupt end today as investors began to question their appetite for risk. The markets have been...
 
Plans Being Made
12 October 2011
Markets were in rally mode as EU Commission Head Jose Manuel Barroso provided confirmation of a bank recapitalization plan and Fed minutes reveal...
 
A Panglossian view
12 October 2011
The Panglossian mood of the markets continued today, with several pieces of negative news having little effect on sentiment. After a lacklustre...
 
Awaiting Details of Something More
11 October 2011
Low volatility day in credit markets despite delay in Slovakia approval vote on EFSF. Alcoa kicks off US earning season.
 
A Slovakian sojourn
11 October 2011
Stocks and spreads gave back some of their recent gains in what was a relatively uneventful day. But there was still plenty of news to chew on...
 
We have a deadline
10 October 2011
European markets staged a strong rally today amid mounting confidence that the EU is finally serious about tackling the debt crisis. The rally...
 
Absolutely No Chance
06 October 2011
US banks led the rally in US credit markets today as the ECB took measures to address European bank liquidity issues.
 
A tale of two CBs
06 October 2011
It was a case of “shock and awe” compared to “softly, softly” from Europe's two most important central banks today. The...
 
Central Banks Next
05 October 2011
Today was a better day for credit as investors were heartened by a potential plan for European bank recapitalization. Morgan Stanley spreads led...
 
Is it finally dawning?
05 October 2011
It was all about the banks today as it appeared that governments were finally recognising that the fate of financial institutions is paramount in...
 
Rough Cycle
04 October 2011
More widening in US bank spreads. Ford and GM also both significantly wider despite recent/pending upgrade actions.
 
Bernanke limits the damage
04 October 2011
A timely intervention from Ben Bernanke this afternoon helped the credit markets recover from yet another depressing trading session. This time...
 
Flying Wide
04 October 2011
In North America, the fallout from today's bad news in Europe fell squarely on US banks. Also AMR Corp spreads widened significantly on...
 
Business as usual in Q4
03 October 2011
Bullish investors hoping for a change of fortune in Q4 were disappointed today as risk aversion continued to permeate the market. Greece's...
 
September
Driving for Direction
29 September 2011
Despite boost in sentiment early from the Bundestag's EFSF approval, a choppy session at the end does little to reassure investors regarding...
 
"Europe relies on Germany"
29 September 2011
“Europe relies on Germany”. CDU front bencher Norbert Barthle closed today's debate on the EFSF changes in the Bundestag with those...
 
A Time to Reassess
28 September 2011
North American IG credit spreads grinded wider today ahead of the Bundestag's vote on the EFSF.
 
A not so secret plan
28 September 2011
Talk of a “secret plan” today typified how the markets have been fluctuating on rumours rather than concrete news. The Markit iTraxx...
 
Divining Policy
27 September 2011
Sentiment continues to be driven out of Europe with every anticipated turn of a "grand" policy. US homebuilders performed well today after...
 
A cry for leverage
27 September 2011
Leverage has become a dirty word in some circles in the wake of the recent banking crisis. But it is in vogue in Europe at the moment, and reports...
 
Positive Surprise Risk
26 September 2011
Markets continue to be sentiment driven, today to the positive side as investors close shorts due to positive surprise risk for a broad European...
 
Lingering optimism
26 September 2011
It seems that the markets are becoming used to disappointment. The lack of progress at the weekend's IMF/G20 meeting was all too predictable but...
 
Eroding Confidence in Every Corner
22 September 2011
It was a harsh market session for risk assets as investors focused on the increased likelihood of a global recession and continued concerns...
 
A perfect storm
22 September 2011
A perfect storm hit the financial markets today and the panic was almost palpable. The major European stock indices were down about 5%, making it...
 
The Tooth Fairy Cometh
21 September 2011
Risk averse sentiment was on the rise again despite FOMC's announcement of "Operation Twist". Bank rating downgrades also weighed.
 
Twist and risk
21 September 2011
Roll activity continued to dominate the CDS market today, resulting in a dichotomy with equities this morning. But the two markets were moving in...
 
Roll on the Fed
20 September 2011
The CDS market probably wasn't the best place to gauge sentiment today. The vast majority of the Markit CDS indices rolled into the new contracts,...
 
Twist or Shout?
19 September 2011
Investors had negative headlines from Europe to contend with today as talks of the 'troika' denying or delaying the next round of aid resurfaced. ...
 
Risk off (again)
19 September 2011
The strong rally of last week was but a distant memory today as risk aversion enveloped the markets once again. The informal Ecofin/Eurogroup...
 
Central banks open fire
15 September 2011
On September 15 governments and monetary authorities were guilty of inaction when Lehman Brothers went bankrupt. Three years later it seems that...
 
More Cavalry Coming?
14 September 2011
North American credit markets managed to hold onto today's rally with sentiment being influenced by events in Europe.
 
A jittery rally
14 September 2011
UK prime minister David Cameron said today in parliament that “Germany and France are meeting to stop Greece going bankrupt”. He was...
 
Searching for News
13 September 2011
Investors flattened positons as they await more news out of Europe. CDS for HPQ wider today due to its $11 bln acq of Autonomy Corp.
 
Mixed messages
13 September 2011
It was another trading session dominated by massive index swings as mixed messages from politicians made conditions difficult. Optimism from...
 
Eyes on Europe
12 September 2011
With a somewhat vacant calendar for US economic data and Europe in focus, US credit markets will follow Europe's lead this week.
 
Breaking records
12 September 2011
It was another brutal day in the European financial markets. The risk aversion that was evident on Friday continued into today, though there was a...
 
Trichet vents his spleen
08 September 2011
A seemingly robust credit market rally dissipated during the afternoon as participants were reminded of the all-pervading uncertain conditions....
 
Volatility Lingers
07 September 2011
In credit markets, volatility remains on a day-over-day basis although intraday swings are muted. Improved tone today was driven by events in Europe.
 
A (brief?) bounceback
07 September 2011
That the market would eventually rally was inevitable, and the fact that it occurred today wasn't a great surprise. Short covering was to be...
 
Loss of Euphoria
06 September 2011
The US markets were heavily influenced by negative sentiment from Europe over the weekend as Merkel's party fared poorly in regional elections.
 
No respite
06 September 2011
A tepid opening in both the credit and equity markets proved deceptive as another day of volatility ensued. Banks outperformed this morning...
 
Light flows and capitulation
05 September 2011
European financial markets capitulated today in a session of light flows and fragile confidence. The Labor Day holiday in the US ensured that...
 
Dial Tone
01 September 2011
Quiet day in credit with US corporate credits leaking weaker ahead of the jobs number tomorrow.
 
All about the data
01 September 2011
The focus of the markets was firmly on economic data today, with both European and North American investors looking for direction from leading...
 
August
August: The Quiet Month
31 August 2011
Rally in credit today likely due to markets pricing in increased chance of QE more than anything else. Today also closes the door on what was a...
 
Squeezing tighter
31 August 2011
Fundamental and technical factors combined today to cultivate a strong rally in credit. Minutes from the latest Fed minutes published late...
 
Counting the Minutes
30 August 2011
Credit markets saw a modest afternoon rally as talk from Fed governor's along with the last FOMC minutes gives a further insight to more...
 
Italy benefits from ECB support
30 August 2011
London-based traders returned after the long weekend to find that last week's volatility has not abated. Short covering after the open saw spreads...
 
Not As Bad as Feared?
29 August 2011
Today's news suggests that economic forecasts and concerns about the banks, much like concerns ahead of Hurricane Irene, may not be as bad as...
 
Staring into a Jackson Hole
25 August 2011
US credit markets were quiet and rather directionless ahead of Jackson Hole.
 
Moving closer together
25 August 2011
Investors expecting credit and equity to recouple and move in tandem today would have been disappointed. But the roles were reversed today, and...
 
The dislocation continues
24 August 2011
And so the credit/equity dislocation continues. The stand-out theme of this week has been the different directions taken by the two markets:...
 
Tremors
23 August 2011
The markets were a tough read today as credit and equity diverged early but converged late. Insights into Jackson Hole remain a bit murky.
 
Credit and equity part ways
23 August 2011
The marked underperformance of credit compared to equity continued today, with the latter asset class proving resilient to sovereign and banking...
 
Perry and Ovid
22 August 2011
Credit markets were cautious ahead of key PMI data releases and the Fed's Jackson Hole meeting this week.
 
Will Bernanke deliver?
22 August 2011
The volatility from previous weeks showed no sign of abating as spreads continued to widen. Credit underperformed equity by some margin, with the...
 
Volatility 2.0
18 August 2011
Negative sentiment in European financials carried over along with negative US economic data kept investors in risk-off mode.
 
Banking, Collateral and Data
18 August 2011
After starting out quiet, European credit markets widened significantly led by concerns in the financial sector.
 
Looking for a reason
17 August 2011
Retailers and banks led the rally at times today but otherwise the market seems to be looking for direction.
 
Squeezing in a day of summer
17 August 2011
Markets seemed to lack direction today but short covering helped France's CDS spreads to tighten.
 
More incrementalism
16 August 2011
In the last half of the day, it was the event that was supposed to be a non-event in Europe that drove US markets.
 
Well Behaved For Now
16 August 2011
Eurozone sovereign CDS, peripheral and core, were fairly quiet leading up to the Merkel/Sarkozy meeting.
 
Slow easy breaths
15 August 2011
Quieter day following a tumultous week. M&A activity rather than economic data drove the session.
 
No big bang?
15 August 2011
A relatively quiet day follows a tumultous week as investors await the Merkel/Sarkozy meeting on Tuesday.
 
Incentive or invective
11 August 2011
CDS for US banks and investment grade corporates underperformed Wall Street's equity rally. How will the recent volatility impact the next round...
 
Look at all these rumors
11 August 2011
Another volatile market session with European banks again in focus.
 
What now?
10 August 2011
Market volatility continues to reign.
 
Foul mood
10 August 2011
Markets return to a foul mood, making yesterday's US equity rally short-lived. French banks were in the spotlight today.
 
An extended period
09 August 2011
Investors digest the latest FOMC statement and the ratings downgrade waterfall facing the municipal market.
 
Back to Ben
09 August 2011
After a bruising session yesterday, markets await the latest pronouncement from the FOMC.
 
Anticipated but unthinkable
08 August 2011
CDS for US banks widened dramatically today following the US sovereign's downgrade. AIG's lawsuit against Bank of America due to mortgage...
 
All necessary measures?
08 August 2011
Volatile market session following the S&P downgrade of the US and ECB intervention.
 
"You will see what we do"
04 August 2011
It still seemed like a long shot this morning when rumours of ECB intervention were doing the rounds. Media reports had suggested that the central...
 
Berlusconi to the rescue?
03 August 2011
With the US debt ceiling agreement agreed and signed off by Obama, the focus of the markets returned to fundamentals. This has become an...
 
Back to contagion
02 August 2011
Risk aversion was permeating the markets today, despite US lawmakers approving the deal to lift the debt ceiling. The House of Representatives...
 
Lacking conviction
01 August 2011
August opened with a rally after a deal was announced to lift the US debt ceiling. But the rally seemed to lack conviction, and yet another set of...
 
July
Italy back at 300bp
28 July 2011
European credit markets recovered from early weakness and finished the day tighter, though there was plenty of news to concern investors. The...
 
USA takes the mantle
28 July 2011
It was another day dominated by events in the US, with the debt ceiling impasse continuing to depress sentiment. Republican House speaker John...
 
Clarity from ISDA on US CDS
26 July 2011
The debt crises on both sides of the Atlantic are rumbling on but the credit markets took the opportunity to retrace some of the widening from...
 
Coming down to the wire
25 July 2011
Euphoria was replaced with unease on Friday afternoon, a trend that continued into today. Doubts over the EU's latest plan to tackle to the...
 
Have they delivered?
21 July 2011
Will 21 July 2011 be remembered as the day when the EU finally grasped the nettle and stopped procrastinating? The power brokers in the region...
 
“Show European responsibility”
20 July 2011
It is debatable whether investors were genuinely adding risk or if participants were merely covering shorts ahead of tomorrow's EU summit. But what...
 
Hacked off
19 July 2011
Perhaps it was the amazing spectacle of Rupert Murdoch and his son being grilled by MPs, or maybe just sheer fatigue. Whatever the reason, there wa...
 
Still stressed
18 July 2011
If policymakers thought that Friday's stress test results would give them a breather from the recent market turmoil then they must have felt disapp...
 
Italy's costly bargain
14 July 2011
The rating agencies had a major impact on the markets last week when Portugal was downgraded to junk by Moody's. Plans for private sector participa...
 
Wild swings
12 July 2011
It was another day of wild swings in the credit markets as participants struggled to adjust to the persistent sovereign turmoil. The contagion evid...
 
Contagion
11 July 2011
Contagion was the word on everyone's lips today as the eurozone debt crisis threatened to envelope the periphery. The Markit iTraxx SovX Western Eu...
 
Trichet causing a stir
07 July 2011
It was shaping up to be another dismal day in the sovereign CDS market. The Markit iTraxx SovX Western Europe index opened wider and left the key 2...
 
Portugal closing in on second
06 July 2011
It was all about risk aversion today as sovereigns buckled under the weight of negative news flow. Credit underperformed equity significantly, as i...
 
Italy back at 200bp
05 July 2011
European credit markets underperformed their equity counterparts by some margin today, with sovereigns again providing the negative impetus. But it...
 
Selective fears
04 July 2011
A predictably quiet day in the markets thanks to the holiday in the US. The Markit iTraxx Europe was slightly wider throughout the day, and the per...
 
June
And now over to the Eurogroup
30 June 2011
The positive momentum from yesterday gathered pace today amid expectations that another “yes” vote would be delivered in the Greek parl...
 
First hurdle cleared
29 June 2011
And so the event that the financial markets have been waiting for passed without incident. Not in Greece, of course. The second day of the general...
 
Pre-vote rally
28 June 2011
Spreads tightened today and the rally gained strength through the afternoon. The “French proposal” for private sector participation in...
 
A French proposal
27 June 2011
As June draws to a close we can expect trading volumes to fall over the rest of the summer. But before then there is the small matter of Greece and...
 
Red alert
23 June 2011
In scenes reminiscent of last week credit markets capitulated in the face of worrying economic news and yet more concerns about the Greek bailout....
 
Just the first hurdle
22 June 2011
The credit markets were pricing in a victory for Greek prime minister George Papandreou in the no confidence vote last night, and they were proved...
 
Something brewing
21 June 2011
The political future of George Papandreou may be in doubt but the markets seem to be pricing in a victory for the beleaguered Greek prime minister....
 
EFSF sparks recovery
20 June 2011
Market expectations for the Eurogroup meeting culminating today were never sky-high but it still proved a disappointment to many. Spreads opened th...
 
As if there wasn't already enough pressure...
16 June 2011
The state of the sovereign CDS market today could only be described as one of capitulation. Records for spreads have been broken with regularity in...
 
Striking down records
15 June 2011
A worrying deterioration in the Greece situation provoked a negative reaction from financial markets today. Procrastination from the various powerb...
 
Banking on China
14 June 2011
Solid economic data from two of the world's growth engines helped offset the now ubiquitous concerns about Greece. Both credit and equity markets r...
 
Still divided
13 June 2011
Equities were moderately higher throughout the day but credit couldn't keep up, though it did recover slightly in the afternoon. In a quiet day &nd...
 
An "enormous mistake"?
09 June 2011
Credit spreads were wider in Europe throughout most of the day but the deterioration was trimmed in the afternoon by a recovery in US stocks. The F...
 
A letter to Trichet
08 June 2011
Credit investors were back in a risk averse frame of mind today as a combination of concerns over US monetary policy and the dreaded “R&rdquo...
 
Nokia on threshold of junk
07 June 2011
It was another tepid day in the markets as participants searched for direction amid a dearth of meaningful news. As expected, there were more headl...
 
An introspective mood
06 June 2011
After last week's swathe of economic data it was little surprise to see market participants in an introspective mood today. The damage done by the...
 
Stress and credibility
02 June 2011
It was no surprise to see European markets open on a negative note this morning after US stocks experienced their worst day this year. Yesterday's...
 
Stoic resistance
01 June 2011
European markets maintained their resilience this morning but then capitulated under the weight of disappointing economic news. Leading indicators...
 
May
Ready to relax?
31 May 2011
The European financial markets started the week on a high as news from the sovereign debt crisis boosted sentiment at the open. However, it was que...
 
"Everything depends on the troika"
26 May 2011
A rally in European credit petered out today as a combination of disappointing US economic data and renewed concerns around Greece weighed on senti...
 
The special relationship
26 May 2011
Financial markets were struggling for direction today, with an improvement in European sovereign spreads helping to limit the damage from below par...
 
Noyer's video nasty
24 May 2011
There was plenty of news around sovereigns today but, unlike yesterday, it had little impact on the broader markets. ECB governing council member C...
 
Politics in the periphery
23 May 2011

Appetite for risk dissolved today in the face of yet more sovereign debt concerns and worrying economic signals. It was the two countries regarded as the safest of the

 
A local squabble
19 May 2011
A squabble that could have important ramifications for the eurozone had only a limited impact on the broader credit and equity markets today.
 
Adding insult to injury
18 May 2011
The major European credit indices underperformed their equity counterparts throughout the day, a late recovery in US markets yesterday failing to compress spreads at t...
 
A re-profile of Greece
17 May 2011
Weak US housing data, concerns over US earnings and the prospect of re-profiling all combined to depress sentiment.
 
A "non-conclusive way"
16 May 2011
It was an inauspicious start to the week for risky assets, with European equity markets down by about 1% and credit indices also losing ground.
 
Range of Expectations
12 May 2011
With yesterday’s “Commodity Sell-Off V2.0”, it was natural that most of today’s session would focus on commodity price movements and economic data rather than the cred...
 
Dining on China
11 May 2011
Credit spreads opened tighter in Europe but a lacklustre morning session in the US saw the rally peter out in the afternoon.
 
Bring the noise
10 May 2011
A session dominated by noise from Greece and its EU masters somehow resulted in risky assets rallying. Spreads opened tighter after a solid showing from Wall Street la...
 
Who’s casting doubt?
09 May 2011
Risk appetite was on the retreat today, though unlike last week commodity prices weren’t the instigator. No, it was the familiar and escalating eurozone sovereign debt...
 
Looking for vigilance
05 May 2011
Credit has been doing its best to withstand the sell-off in equities but it finally succumbed to risk aversion today. The fear of monetary policy tightening in emergin...
 
Bailout and Auction
04 May 2011
The focus began this morning in peripherals where market participants awaited to see the credit reaction to yesterday’s late announcement that the Portuguese caretaker...
 
A rebalancing act
03 May 2011
Traders returned from the four-day weekend in the UK to a range-bound market. The death of Osama bin Laden has had little impact on risk appetite; he was an increasing...
 
Obituaries and Markets
02 May 2011
The death of Osama bin Laden influenced the markets early today but then faded somewhat Macroeconomic data will likely be the focus this week.
 
April
Waiting for Ben
28 April 2011
European credit spreads today were driven by month-end positioning in a market impaired by poor liquidity. Sovereign spreads were significantly tighter on short coveri...
 
Ugly rumours
20 April 2011
It appears that the markets have quickly rediscovered their appetite for risk after the S&P-inspired blip on Monday.
 
Taking a breather
19 April 2011
After the panic of yesterday the markets returned to something resembling normality today, though the negative S&P action on the US was still a cogent factor.
 
AAA in danger
18 April 2011
Traders’ attentions were diverted away from Greece’s many problems after S&P placed the US AAA sovereign rating on negative outlook.
 
Greece and "other steps"
14 April 2011
Meaningful talk of a eurozone country restructuring its debt. Spreads hitting record levels. The supposedly diminished risk of contagion being reappraised.
 
Quashing speculation
13 April 2011
Since the rally over the first week of April the credit markets have struggled to find direction. The Markit iTraxx Europe index has been trading in a relatively narro...
 
Warm words won't do
12 April 2011
Risk aversion was back in the ascendency today as a combination of Japanese woes, disappointing economic data and an underwhelming start to earnings season combined to...
 
Anticipated But Still Monumental Events
07 April 2011
It was an eventful day in the markets even if mostly anticipated. Let’s start with Portugal. Most have been anticipating an eventual Portuguese request for a bailout s...
 
Banks powering rally
06 April 2011
The credit markets had a strong tone today as risk aversion showed further signs of waning.
 
Portugal and Ireland swap places
05 April 2011
Mixed economic data and rising oil prices ensured that the risk appetite evident yesterday was dampened in today’s session. Markit Services PMIs for the eurozone and U...
 
M&A activity supporting risk appetite
04 April 2011
Credit markets rallied today, with risk appetite fuelled by Friday’s strong US economic data. The robust non-farm payrolls and ISM manufacturing reports instilled conf...
 
March
Stressful enough?
31 March 2011
Financials continued to act as a drag on credit as it underperformed equity for a second consecutive day. The impending stress test results from Ireland are creating u...
 
A reversal of fortune
30 March 2011
The overall tone in the markets was positive today but it was tempered by nerves in the banking sector.
 
Time for “PIG”?
29 March 2011
It was left to the rating agencies to jolt the credit markets into life today after a tepid morning session. S&P surprised the markets this afternoon by downgrading Po...
 
“absolutely unforgiveable”
28 March 2011
A weighty second-half of the week ensured that risky assets were little changed today.
 
Let's "wait and see"
24 March 2011
Not even the collapse of a eurozone government could prevent risky assets rallying today, with stocks reaching their highest levels for two weeks.
 
Portugal on the verge?
23 March 2011
Credit spreads opened wider this morning as traders woke up to higher oil prices and a Japan nuclear situation that is far from resolved.
 
Wider ahead of budgets tomorrow
22 March 2011
Spread direction has been powered by events in Japan over the last week or so, with Libya and occasional M&A deals secondary concerns for investors.
 
Roll on M&A
21 March 2011
A perceived improvement in the Japan nuclear situation and a revival in trans-Atlantic M&A helped risky assets rally today.
 
Tepco grasping the nettle?
17 March 2011
Financial markets are beholden to the Japanese nuclear situation, and the twists and turns of the story are causing volatility in spreads and stocks.
 
Incendiary comments
16 March 2011
It was perhaps inevitable that there would be a short covering rally at some point this week. Credit markets in Japan had widened dramatically for three days in succes...
 
Japan, Tepco at record wide levels
15 March 2011
Risk aversion enveloped the markets today as investors reacted to the unfolding disaster in Japan. European spreads opened significantly wider after it emerged that th...
 
Uncharacteristic decisiveness
14 March 2011
Uncharacteristic decisiveness from the EU took the markets by surprise and helped credit markets withstand the risk aversion created by the tragic events in Japan.
 
Competitiveness and solvency
10 March 2011
The eurozone’s periphery hasn’t been a major cause of risk aversion for a while. But that has changed this week, with sovereigns once again triggering unease in the ma...
 
Sovereign unsustainability
09 March 2011
A twin-pronged attack from oil and peripheral sovereigns led to European risky assets retreating this afternoon. The price of crude was already creeping back up earlie...
 
Bonds bearing the brunt
08 March 2011
Oil continued to have a bearing on market sentiment, and a retreat in the price of the commodity helped support a weak rally in risky assets today.
 
Greek indignation
07 March 2011
European credit markets underperformed their equity counterparts today, with sovereigns widening ahead of the interim EU summit on Friday.
 
Vigilance and optimism
03 March 2011
A hawkish Jean-Claude Trichet couldn’t prevent spreads benefitting from strong economic data and a falling oil price.
 
Oil dictating sentiment
02 March 2011
The oil price continued to power spread direction today, a sharp rise in the commodity late yesterday ensuring that spreads opened wider this morning.
 
MENA rumours quash upbeat economic news
01 March 2011
The positive momentum that was building in the markets this morning was dampened thoroughly by the afternoon as MENA concerns returned (did they ever go away?).
 
February
Greek Week Continues
08 February 2012
Corporate CDS finish the day more or less unchanged but saw some intraday volatility as the markets chased headlines regarding Greece.
 
Will they or won't they?
08 February 2012
Will they or won't they? That was the question being asked today in the markets, and it concerned the tense relationship between the ECB and...
 
Wheels of Progress Turn Slowly
07 February 2012
Market sentiment continued to be driven by the perception of progress or lack of in Greece. Next week is reported to be the deadline for a PSI...
 
Primary in the spotlight
07 February 2012
The secondary markets were basically on hold today as they awaited clarity on the Greek bailout. Déjà vu was the order of the day as...
 
Greek Week
06 February 2012
With no macroeconomic data releases today and little news over the weekend, investors had little choice but to focus on the lack of progress on...
 
Stasis in Athens
06 February 2012
The credit markets opened the week on a negative note as the seemingly interminable Greek bailout talks continued. There was some evidence that...
 
Consolidation
02 February 2012
Markets had little to go on for direction today as US initial jobless claims came in around expectations and investors still await word of details...
 
Waiting in anticipation
02 February 2012
It was very much a case of the markets treading water ahead of an important day for economic data tomorrow. Non-farm payrolls will be closely...
 
Rally Resumed
01 February 2012
Credit markets showed technical strength today with in-line to better macroeconomic numbers. Credit risk for the US auto sector improved on...
 
Another barnstormer
01 February 2012
The rally that has been a hallmark of the markets in recent weeks gathered pace today following positive economic data and optimism around the...
 
Saudi to the rescue?
24 February 2011
It was a predictably volatile day for credit and equity markets as participants struggled to understand the consequences of Libya’s ongoing political upheaval.
 
Credit and oil price shocks
23 February 2011
Risk appetite continued to dwindle today as the price of oil spiralled upwards. Brent crude hit $110 a barrel this afternoon, the first time it has done so in nearly t...
 
MENA causing risk aversion
22 February 2011
Risk aversion permeated the markets today as investors grappled with the implications of turmoil in the Middle East and North Africa.
 
Crossover breaking out of range
17 February 2011
It seems that it will take something major to shift spreads from their current trading range. But there were tentative signs today that the main credit indices are loo...
 
Corporates inspire confidence
16 February 2011
Upbeat news from the corporate sector and encouraging US economic data helped offset weakness in peripheral sovereigns, leading to risky assets rallying on both sides...
 
No catalysts
15 February 2011
Risky assets were range-bound today as a swathe of economic data failed to ignite animal spirits.
 
Pause for thought
14 February 2011
Today lacked the drama of Friday, with Egypt returning to normality and a dearth of economic news.
 
Drama in the Middle East
10 February 2011
It was a day of high drama in the Middle East. This morning Twitter was alive with rumours that Saudi Arabia’s King Abdullah was dead.
 
Nonplussed by Egypt
09 February 2011
It seems that the credit markets are in the midst of one of their quietest periods for some time as investors look to consolidate after the recent rally. Egypt, perhap...
 
Inertia prevails
08 February 2011
Inertia was the prevailing state of the markets today in another quiet session. A 25bp rise in Chinese interest rates to 6.06% - the third hike since October – had lit...
 
The old disunity
07 February 2011
After the multitude of market moving events last week, today was placid in comparison. The absence of any negative catalysts led to stock markets gaining both in Europ...
 
Politics vs Economics
03 February 2011
The themes occupying the markets today remained the same, with geopolitical, sovereign and economic issues all making a clear spread direction hard to find.
 
Economy as bulwark
02 February 2011
The credit markets kicked off this morning where they left off yesterday: in tightening mode. If anything, the momentum increased as the two major corporate indices br...
 
Manufacturing growth
01 February 2011
Events in North Africa have dominated trading activity in recent days, overshadowing important economic releases such as eurozone inflation yesterday.
 
January
Underwhelming Session, Solid Month
31 January 2012
January has been a strong month for risky assets but disappointing results in today's US macroeconomic releases was the primary factor in holding...
 
Italian banks regain access
31 January 2012
Position-squaring means that caution has to be borne in mind when interpreting market moves at month-end. Both the credit and equity markets...
 
Waiting for Imminent
30 January 2012
Headlines and market activity were subdued today ahead of what will be a busy week of macroeconomic data releases. Investors chose to focus on...
 
Slow progress
30 January 2012
The credit markets have started the week in a negative mood amid slow progress around Greek PSI talks. Reports suggest that a deal is “very...
 
The To and Fro
26 January 2012
There was some intraday volatility exhibited in credit markets today as investors reacted to headlines suggesting that a Greek debt deal was close...
 
Dire straits
26 January 2012
A combination of a dovish Fed and rumours that a Greek PSI deal is imminent led to a robust rally in both credit and equity today. The Fed...
 
Extension of Extended
25 January 2012
Risk assets overcame concerns regarding the Greek debt negotiations from earlier in the session as the FOMC extended their "extended period"...
 
Ireland springs a surprise
25 January 2012
The major credit indices finished the day more or less flat but that belied a day of considerable news flow and meaningful volatility. Spreads...
 
Counterbalance
24 January 2012
US corporate credit spreads were only a little wider on Greek deal jitters. Positive macroceconomic data today helped counterbalance what could...
 
Portugal close to a record 1,300bp
24 January 2012
Credit and equity markets reacted badly to the stasis in the eurozone today, though a late rally limited the damage. The stalemate on Greek...
 
Awaiting Action
23 January 2012
US corporate credit markets outperformed equities in a session light on volume and news. Investors look forward to more news on Greek debt...
 
Shrugging off stalemate
23 January 2012
The rally continues apace despite the lack of progress in the Greek PSI talks. News that weekend discussions had failed to produce an agreement...
 
A Picture's Worth
19 January 2012
Credit markets got a boost today from solid bond auctions in Europe and a drop in initial jobless claims. However, there will be a credit event...
 
Downgrade? What downgrade?
19 January 2012
The rally in the credit market regained its momentum today as a series of events combined to inspire optimism. A strong US close yesterday –...
 
Still Rallying
18 January 2012
North American credit markets saw a rally fueled by reports of an imminent deal on Greek haircuts, more firepower at the IMF and improving...
 
Portugal in the firing line
18 January 2012
The week-long rally in the credit markets struggled to maintain its momentum today despite a timely intervention from the IMF. A spokesman for the...
 
Of Economy, Earnings and Europe
17 January 2012
The markets saw renewed risk appetite after taking in S&P's sovereign rating downgrades in stride. Bank earnings today were mixed with C missing...
 
A distant memory?
17 January 2012
The S&P induced drama of last Friday almost seems a distant memory. Spreads have recovered with apparent ease from the widening late last week;...
 
Portugal bearing the brunt
16 January 2012
After the drama of Friday afternoon it was back to the relative docility that we have seen thus far in 2012. Martin Luther King Day in the US...
 
What's the Next Negative Catalyst?
12 January 2012
Any euphoria over Italian and Spanish bond auction results did not last long as US macroeconomic data weighed and concerns about the status of PSI...
 
Readily accessible
12 January 2012
Credit comfortably outperformed equity today as successful debt sales from Spain and Italy sparked a revival in risk appetite. Spreads were...
 
A Reminder
11 January 2012
Markets showed some signs of risk aversion earlier in the session but firmed up a bit at close. Tomorrow's Italian and Spanish government bond...
 
Still searching
11 January 2012
The credit markets are searching for direction thus far in 2012 as investors struggle to ascertain what underlying theme will emerge dominant in...
 
Absent a Negative or Ignoring the Negatives?
10 January 2012
Credit markets rallied today on the heels of equity markets. Whether it is the absence of near-term negative catalysts or the market is simply...
 
Ready to rally?
10 January 2012
Optimism over the current earnings season and hopes that China will loosen monetary policy helped risk assets recover from yesterday's widening....
 
Quiet Day in Potentially Eventful Week
09 January 2012
Credit markets were fairly quiet as little new information came out over the weekend and investors awaited possibly major events later in the week.
 
A Merkozy non-event
09 January 2012
It was an uneventful start to the week as markets struggled to find direction amid a dearth of news. The rally from Friday's better than expected...
 
Seeking Direction
05 January 2012
US credit markets traded flat to wider despite positive US labor numbers; European concerns weighed. CDS for retailers were flat to wider despite...
 
More pain for banks
05 January 2012
The trend from yesterday – in fact, the trend from last year – continued today with sovereigns and banks bearing down on sentiment. A...
 
Snapshot
04 January 2012
Liquidity concerns for European financials and spread widening in eurozone sovereigns tarnished sentiment early in the day but markets did better...
 
Austria feeling Hungary's pain
04 January 2012
It seemed like business as usual today as yesterday's rally was reversed amid widespread risk aversion. Sovereigns and banks resumed their 2011...
 
Mubarak clinging on
31 January 2011
A relatively quiet day for economic data ensured that the ongoing drama in Egypt was the main focus for investors. President Mubarak’s attempts to hold on to power, in...
 
Dreams and haircuts
27 January 2011
European markets were preparing to react to President Obama’s State of the Union address –which turned out to be a something of a non-event – when an unexpected salvo...
 
Now to the FOMC
26 January 2011
A relatively uneventful day saw the major credit indices fail to hold on to their gains and finish the session more or less flat. The Markit iTraxx Europe and Crossove...
 
UK regaining its influence
25 January 2011
It was inevitable that CDS spreads would suffer a correction at some point. After all, the Markit iTraxx Europe index had tightened 20bp to 95bp since January 10. But...
 
Political risk in Ireland
24 January 2011
It was another positive session for risky assets, and credit in particular. The asset class has been rallying for the past two weeks, and the Markit iTraxx Europe tigh...
 
An Irish contrast
20 January 2011
Persistent tightening in sovereign and financials has helped the European credit markets withstand a sell-off in equities over the last few days.
 
Greek volatility
19 January 2011
A strong showing from sovereigns and financials led to the credit market outperforming equities today. The latter sector was under scrutiny as two major US banks poste...
 
Citi holding firm
18 January 2011
The return of the US markets after a holiday-extended weekend had little impact on European credit spreads. Citigroup’s results were the highlight in what was otherwis...
 
Who's next
17 January 2011
European markets were more or less unchanged today on reportedly low volumes, an unsurprising fact given that there was a US holiday.
 
Reaching consensus
13 January 2011
After yesterday’s “successful” Portuguese bond auctions (10-year yields of 6.71% successful?), the Spanish and Italian debt sales today were unlikely to set the pulses...
 
The price is right?
12 January 2011
Events posited as potential tipping points often have a habit of underwhelming. Portugal’s keenly awaited bond auction was a case in point.
 
ECB lends a helping hand
11 January 2011
A combination of short covering and a recovery in risk appetite led to the major credit indices tightening today.
 
Back to March 09
10 January 2011
The credit markets continued where they left off last week and extended their recent widening trend. Most of the gains made in the Markit iTraxx Europe index towards t...
 
Banks under the cosh
06 January 2011
European credit markets underperformed their equity counterparts by some distance today as uncertainty over the fate of senior bank bondholders pushed spreads wider ac...
 
From west to east
05 January 2011
After yesterday’s strong start to the year it was no great surprise to see a correction today, though the plethora of market moving economic releases clearly had an im...
 
A tale of exports and inflation
04 January 2011
The European CDS market opened 2011 on a strong note in response to economic data released yesterday and today. It was the first opportunity for London traders to reac...
 
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