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CDS Movers

CDS Improvers - 21 August 2008

Ticker CLIP Name Doc Clause 5Y Today Daily Chg (bp) Weekly Chg (bp) 28 Day Chg (bp)
KAZ Y29ECH Kazkommertsbank JSC CR 777 -22 -59 54
DOL 27BC65 Dole Food Co Inc XR 972 -10 -31 -144
KAZAKS 4CECC7 Rep Kazakhstan CR 245 -8 -7 32
CONTI 2D17E8 Contl AG MM 270 -8 4 7
YASUFI JQD82T Sompo Japan Ins Inc CR 65 -6 -9 7
SUMIRD JQEFEB Sumitomo Rlty & Dev Co Ltd CR 276 -4 -7 28
YAMAHA JSECED YAMAHA Mtr CO LTD CR 47 -4 -8 -1
CIBN HI57CO Ciba Hldg Inc MM 296 -3 43 55
VENZ 9B48AA Rep Venezuela CR 592 -3 -25 23
LEN 5H865C Lennar Corp MR 893 -3 70 187
KAZ / KAZAKS - Kazakhstan's credit spreads, having widened in response to the conflict between Russia and Georgia, are now falling back. Russia has yet to pull back from Georgian territory and the West has taken a more aggressive tone in recent days. Fears that the conflict could spread beyond Georgia led to the cost of protection in Russia's neighbours to widen.
 
DOL - Dole Food's spreads tightened yesterday on no firm news. The fruit and vegetable company has been trading upfront for some time, indicating probability of near-tern distress. Investors are concerned about its ability to redeem a $350 million 2009 bond. Dole had negative cash flow for the first-half of 2008 and its high leverage could mean that it will face difficulty in refinancing.
CONTI - German automotive supplier Continental was one of the few tightening credits in Europe yesterday. The company announced that it had reached an agreement with investment group Schaeffler that will see the latter firm take a maximum 49.99% in Continental. Schaeffler has agreed that it will not change the dividend policy or increase the debt to equity ratio against the wishes of the board. However, Schaeffler's stake is significant and could presage a move towards a more shareholder friendly financial policy in the medium-term. Continental needs to deleverage following its VDO acquisition and the wide level of its spreads reflects investors concerns over management's ability to deliver.
 
YASUFI - Sompo Japan tightened on no firm news. The broader Japanese credit market continued to widen in response to financial market jitters in the US.

CDS Deteriorators - 21 August 2008

Ticker CLIP Name Doc Clause 5Y Today Daily Chg (bp) Weekly Chg (bp 28 Day Chg (bp)
GLTNR XA37FV Glitnir banki hf MM 868 84 106 -132
KAUPBN XB776W Kaupthing banki hf MM 775 37 78 -229
LEA 5H39EB Lear Corp MR 985 33 68 212
MDPAC-SKF GOA86F Smurfit Kappa Fdg plc MM 506 26 31 108
LANISL X1BD7U Landsbanki Is H F MM 489 21 22 -177
SLMA 7FC86R SLM Corp MR 485 20 50 43
COF 1F444H Cap One Finl Corp MR 452 19 52 67
GENP FMDCAQ Rallye MM 669 19 24 49
SPGIM T1BB8H Seat Pagine Gialle SpA MM 962 19 8 131
AIG 028EFB Amern Intl Gp Inc MR 367 18 66 138
GLTNR / KAUPBN / LANISL - Icelandic banks, long the most volatile among European financials, widened as par of a broader move in the sector. Spreads in Glitnir, Kaupthing and Landsbanki rallied this month as speculation receded about their near-term future. Yesterday, however, negative sentiment in the sector saw them resume their widening. The composite eurozone PMI, produced by Markit and RBS, rose modestly but remained at levels indicating economic contraction. The report gave bears on the eurozone economy more ammunition. Uncertainty surrounding Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac has also weighed on spreads. Rumours abound that the government may be forced to step in and secure the GSEs' future. Until the situation is resolved it will cause more volatility in financials.
 
LEA - Spreads in auto parts supplier Lear Corp are approaching the 1,000bp mark amid a resurgence in oil prices. The price of crude moved beyond $120 a barrel for the first time since the beginning of this month, with geopolitical concerns and a falling dollar driving the increase.
 
MDPAC-SKF - Smurfit Kappa's spreads widened in a mixed session for US high yield credit. The Markit CDX HY index was marginally tighter, tracking the stock market, but most of the constituents were wider.
 

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